One of the most complex poker strategy decisions is when you
are first to act on the river
Continuing our poker strategy on the river
topic from part one, we are dealing with a heads-up situation.
In all cases, you must decide whether you
are ahead or not. Most are not straightforward, but careful thought can
help you make the right decisions.
Let’s deal with the easy cases first and
move on to advanced poker strategy afterwards.
1) You have the nuts
A pretty nice situation to be in. Being
first to act means you have a dilemma to face. Ideally you are up
against an aggressive opponent who may bet with all kinds of hands.
Your check sets up these guys for a bet,
which you will of course raise.
But this is a risky strategy. You are
going to cost yourself money if the player checks behind you. There
is a universal truth in poker: players will call with more hands than
they will bet with.
In the above case, when you know you
cannot lose, betting is probably the best poker strategy. In some
cases, your opponent will be sitting on a second-best hand that he
can’t resist raising with! So the risk of checking to raise seems too
great. Best poker strategy? Bet out and hope he has walked into a
decent enough hand to raise you.
2) You have nothing at all
Again, knowing your opponent is important.
Now you hope to be facing the kind of tight-weak player who can fold
good hands, like one pair, against an aggressor on the river.
Here, the risk is whether to bet
to steal the pot, or leave it be. A lot depends on your table
image. If you come across as a tight, solid, aggressive winner, people
will be less likely to call this bluff than if you are seen as a loose,
wild player.
Bluffing here is not ALWAYS going to be
correct, of course, but if you fold every time you miss your hand, you
will be giving up pots on the river. And pots on the river are usually
bigger. That’s an expensive time to fold! Mix up your play enough so
that people can’t read you easily and you will succeed more often than
you fail. 3) You are somewhere in-between
The biggest problem when you have hands
that are less clear-cut is figuring out whether you are winning or
losing. Sometimes it’s a very close call and the best poker
strategy seems counter-intuitive!
Let’s say you have AK and the board looks
like this:
Nasty situation. Your top pair, top kicker is almost certainly behind,
to either a straight (the Queen of any suit) or a flush (two clubs).
The best poker strategy is to check and then fold if the opponent bets.
Change the river card very slightly,
though, and you will be able to make a case for betting. Again, you
have AK:
Now, your opponent cannot have a flush. He could still have a straight,
but he must have a combination of two straight cards, such as AQ, 97 or
Q9. None of these is likely, as you will surely have been betting
strongly from preflop with your AK. He would have raised the turn with
AQ to prevent you drawing cheaply for the flush.
Ironically, your action here
should be to check as well. The optimal poker strategy is to
get your opponent to bluff with his busted drawing hand. Don’t forget
that he COULD still have beaten you with KJ or something equally lucky,
so a check-call seems the best move to me.
Learning the strength of your hand on the
river in relation to the best hand available takes experience. Your
poker strategy should vary depending on: the strength of your hand; the
assumed strength of your opponent’s hand; and your knowledge of his
likely style when facing you on the river.
Part three will deal with what
your best poker strategy is when you are last to act on the river.
Click
here for part three of this poker strategy mini-series!